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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable image

The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Paperback)

by Nassim nicholas taleb

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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Paperback)

11 Ratings  |  2 Reviews
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Product Specification & Summary

Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan is a concept that will change the way you look at the world. Black Swans underlie almost everything, from the rise of religions, to events in our own personal lives. A Black Swan is a highly improbable event with three principle characteristics: it is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random and more predictable than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan so was 9/11. And why do we always ignore the phenomenon of Black Swans until after they occur? As Nassim Nicholas Taleb reveals, we are hard-wired not to truly estimate risk, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the ‘impossible’. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don’t know, and shows us how to face the world.
Title The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
Author
Publisher
ISBN 9780141034591
Edition 1st Edition, 2008
Number of Pages 446
Country India
Language English

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